Follow protocols otherwise COVID cases in Manila could hit 2,000 a day by end of July: Duque

Filipino Catholics pray during a mass in front of the Quiapo Church amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Manila, the Philippines March 25, 2022. REUTERS/Eloisa Lopez

The Philippines’ health chief has warned that Metro Manila could see 2,000 COVID-19 cases a day by the end of July, according to CNN Philippines.

Citing projections from the Australian Tuberculosis Modeling Network (AuTuMN), Health Secretary Francisco Duque III said on Thursday June 23 that the peak could occur if public health protocols continue to be ignored and the use of reminders remains low.

Cases in the capital region could reach between 800 and 1,200 a day in late June, Duque said. “Pero by the end of July, going from 1,500 to 2,000 cases per day and after that the plateau will drop to less than 1,000 (But at the end of July, cases could reach 1,500 to 2,000 a day and after that cases will plateau below 1,000). »

The projection is based on assumptions such as a decline in people’s compliance with minimum public health standards, low use of booster shots, and the presence of fast-spreading Omicron subvariants with evasion characteristics immune.

Nonetheless, Duque was confident the country would be able to handle the new spike in cases.

On Monday, the Department of Health (DOH) warned of the start of a new “spike” in COVID cases in the country, urging the public to follow health protocols. The capital region is under the lowest alert level until the end of the month.

Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire said Wednesday that serious and critical cases accounted for only about 11% of total admissions nationwide.

While some 70 million people have completed their coronavirus vaccinations, only 14.7 million have received boosters.

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